ontario summer forecast 2023

Summer 2023 forecast for Ontario promises wild temperature swings

Get ready for a turbulent season ahead, according to an Ontario summer forecast for 2023 released Wednesday.

The official start of summer may still be a few weeks off, though you'd hardly know it walking the streets of Toronto this week amid some very summer-like conditions. But according to The Weather Network's 2023 Summer Forecast, residents of the city and surrounding province should enjoy that heat while it lasts.

After three solid years of weather patterns driven by the recently-departed La Niña atmospheric phenomenon, Ontario is in for a very different-looking summer in 2023.

The pattern is now trending towards what The Weather Network forecasts as "a moderate, possibly strong, El Niño event," which will translate to a summer marked by periods of heat interrupted by cooler temperatures than typical over the past few years.

It's part of what the Weather Network describes as a "come and go" summer across Canada that will include stretches of hot and dry weather shuffled in with blasts of cool and unsettled weather.

"The global pattern is in a state of upheaval as we are seeing a rapid transition from an exceptionally persistent La Niña event to what appears to be a rather significant El Niño event," said Chris Scott, Chief Meteorologist with The Weather Network.

"Therefore, our weather pattern this summer should be different from the past few summers with more changeable conditions. Overall, a cooler summer is expected, especially across the eastern half of Canada."

Temperatures are expected to be at near normal for the southernmost areas of Ontario, including Toronto, however, locals can look forward to some very unpredictable swings registering on thermometers this coming patio season.

Scorching 30+ degree days are expected to be in shorter supply this summer, in what The Weather Network calls "A changeable summer [...] as the heat will lack commitment," using a descriptor also fitting for Toronto's dating scene.

By no means is this expected to be a freakishly cold summer or anything unpleasant like that. If anything, the forecast predicts a more comfortable summer, though that comes with the possibility of slightly above-average precipitation for southern parts of the province, including the GTA.

Lead photo by

midnightsixmidnightsix


Latest Videos



Latest Videos


Join the conversation Load comments

Latest in City

New laws and rules coming to Ontario next month

Next phase of Gardiner Expressway work to begin and here's what to expect

Toronto will get more water taxis to relieve overcrowded island ferries

Huge earth-chewing titans will soon carve out Toronto's new $27B subway line

The most popular pet name in Toronto is the same for both cats and dogs

Key Toronto intersection is finally reopening after days-long emergency closure

Troublesome raccoon stalls TTC subway service in most Toronto incident ever

More Canadians are about to have an easier time filing their taxes