toronto weather

Long-term forecast predicts topsy-turvy and stormy winter weather for Toronto

The flip-floppy weather Toronto has seen in recent months is set to continue on through the winter, experts are predicting, with fluctuating climate patterns expected across the country over the course of December, January and February.

On the heels of the tornadoessevere thunderstormsextreme heatwaves, random bouts of hail, hazy skies and poor air quality that we saw this summer, the city got some flooding-level rainfalls and quickly-dropping temperatures during an otherwise unseasonably mild fall.

And now, under a fresh blanket of snow — the first real accumulation of the season — residents can expect even more inconsistent conditions, according to a new long-term forecast from The Weather Network.

Though Ontario is slated to get more snowy weather ahead of the holidays than usual this year, the strong start to winter will only last until New Year's or so.

Into 2022, very mild temps are expected to take over the eastern half of the country for what TWN meteorologist Doug Gillham calls a "wipe away winter" that will bring an extended thaw.

But, the unusually balmy weather will be punctuated at times by more frigid temps trying to push in from the north and west of the country, where there will be a much more typical winter this year.

"This would set up a battleground between the Arctic air and the very mild air that would extend from southern Ontario to the Maritimes," Gillham writes in his forecast on Monday.

"This scenario would produce periods of high-impact winter weather with messy systems tracking across the region."

La Niña will also mean storms for the entire south of the nation, with above-normal precipitation expected — which in Southern Ontario will appear as a chaotic mix of rain, snow and ice amid this "come and go" winter.

Because of this, the province may actually see lower than average snowfall levels, but no shortage of messy weather phenomena.

But perhaps the turbulent, stormy days to come could be considered a fair trade-off for the fact that there will be little-to-no severe cold in January and February, which are usually notorious for their biting and bitter temps.

Lead photo by

A Great Capture


Latest Videos



Latest Videos


Join the conversation Load comments

Latest in City

Huge number of Ontario residents ditched the province to move to Alberta in 2024

What's open and closed on Boxing Day 2024 in Toronto

New parks coming to Toronto in 2025

5 Ontario megaprojects scheduled for completion in 2025

How Ben Mulroney spends his perfect Sunday in Toronto

What's open and closed on Christmas Eve 2024 in Toronto

New laws and rules coming to Ontario next month

Next phase of Gardiner Expressway work to begin and here's what to expect